How the outsiders won -- and the insiders crumbled


This story was reported by Dana Bash, Gloria Borger, Abigail Crutchfield, Jeremy Diamond, Chris Frates, Noah Gray, Ashley Killough, Betsy Klein, Elizabeth Landers, Phil Mattingly, Dan Merica, Sara Murray, Mark Preston, Manu Raju, Gabe Ramirez, Maeve Reston, Lauren Selsky, Sunlen Serfaty, Cassie Spodak, Gregory Wallace and Jeff Zeleny.

There was more than a hint of irony in the victory of Donald Trump in New Hampshire Tuesday night.

In a state that has always been known for giving new life to the political worker candidates, he swept the field. Spaced at its closest rival, Ohio Governor John Kasich, by double digits, and he notched his first victory in this presidential race acting more like a traditional candidate.

Victory Speech triumph was elegant and understated with a long list of thanks for family and campaign staff. He acknowledged that he had learned the lesson of Iowa that the land subject of the game and paid more attention to their voters in New Hampshire. Most striking, he had nothing but praise for his fellow competitors.

In fact, Trump had been a mere spectator in the biggest fight of the week - the confrontation between the governor of New Jersey Chris Christie and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio to rethink the Republican race.

Log in New Hampshire after the Iowa primaries on Monday, Rubio was the candidate to beat, but Trump does not touch him. It was demolished Christie Rubio, stop his momentum during the debate Saturday night at a time that could go down in history as one of the toughest markets in the GOP primary campaign.

While at the margin, Trump noted the power of the moment during the commercial break as Christie walked across the stage to see his wife. Someone grabbed the arm of Christie from behind, and the governor of New Jersey went to see none other than Donald Trump commanding taunter.

"Oh my God." That was brutal, Trump muttered to Christie at the stage of discussion, according to a person familiar with the exchange. "Tremendous".

Maybe he's off-load this week (with the exception of a vulgar coup Ted Cruz on the eve of the elections) helped Donald Trump. He swept a number of demographic and ideological attractive six in ten voters in New Hampshire who said they were looking for an external candidate groups.



The commanders wins in New Hampshire two marginal, Trump and democratic winner Bernie Sanders - reinforce the enormous vulnerability of the establishment in the presidential race of 2016. Insiders on both sides are striving to find their footing in a year when voters are fed up with the status quo. Democrat Hillary Clinton looks contests March as your firewall. John Kasich is trying to capitalize on the time after climbing to second in New Hampshire. Jeb Bush hopes hang by engineering a strong performance in South Carolina. Chris Christie has led Home to assess their chances amid signs that will soon end its bid, according to two sources. And Marco Rubio is trying to regroup after a humiliating defeat.

Meanwhile, Trump just got stronger Tuesday night. After recover in the polls in Iowa - a fact many strategists Iowa attributed to the weakness of his ground game compared with that winner Ted Cruz - win campaign made a concerted pressure to reach voters in New Hampshire who could not go to the polls.

Besides its great Rally, he added smaller, more intimate events and retail stops where he could mix with voters, apparently with great success.

"We are nearing the end of a beautiful, beautiful trip," he said during a City Hall in Londonderry on Monday afternoon. "It must be a very big day for the nation."

The dreamer takes the doer

Outsiders understood that the time had captured: Sanders congratulated his supporters on Tuesday night promised "nothing short of" a political revolution.

He promised that his "movement" would bring together people who have resigned in the political process.

"Let us all together to say loud and clear that the government of our great nation belongs to all of us, not just rich campaign contributors," he told a boisterous crowd. "That's what this campaign is all about. That's what politics is revolution."

The impetus for a resounding victory in the first primary in the nation came last week with surprising strength in Iowa. Iowa votes were counted when Sanders boarded their charter plane to New Hampshire after midnight. The feat was only achieved once seemed unthinkable: the democratic socialist Vermont 74 reached in a fraction of a percentage point to kill Clinton, the anointed candidate of the Democratic establishment and one of the most famous women in the world.

Earlier, Clinton had vanished on stage to claim his somewhat weak win over networks even calls. But Sanders and his assistants had winged toward New Hampshire past midnight, knew the story had shifted in their favor.

With this narrow margin, the world would see the result as a draw. That meant the Vermont senator had cleared a huge hurdle: dispels doubt that could be viable. And the whole momentum of the campaign in New Hampshire. Money was pouring online.

"When we started this campaign, I think it's fair to say that consider us a campaign of fringe. I hope most people no longer believe that," Sanders told reporters while he was in the hallway, lit by ultraviolet of interior lights of his east 757 airlines.

"We're in this Convention," he said. "Tonight shows the American people that this is a campaign that can win."

Sleep could wait. 5:15 am, standing in the back of a flatbed truck in Bow, New Hampshire, his breath in the cold air of New Hampshire.

"Jane and I can not believe you're here at 5:00 in the morning," Sanders said, as he and his wife joined supporters in the darkness before dawn. "Something is wrong with you guys!"

But electricity around him that morning was a harbinger of things that take place in the week to come.

Clinton uphill climb

For the Clinton team, the imperative to bridge the gap of a vote of more than twenty points a week before the New Hampshire primary like almost surreal. This, after all, was a state had been kind to her and her husband. It was here that Bill Clinton is positioned as the "comeback kid" in 1992. His time in tears at a cafe in Portsmouth, share their struggles with a group of women in 2008 she allowed him to recover from its humiliating third in Iowa.

Long before Sanders emerged as a threat this cycle, she insisted that she was taking anything granted ads airing in New Hampshire since August. Clinton and his aides worked throughout last year to build the story that this was his moment in history.

In his first post Iowa rally last week with New Hampshire Gov. Maggie Hassan, she was received here in the Granite State as the first woman to win the Iowa caucuses. Senators woman flew from Washington to scrutiny for her hoping to break what she called the roof, the harder highest glass.

But open to the historic nature of their candidate appeal does not seem to be ringing in 2016.

For weeks, tensions had been swirling within their field on how to beat out the charismatic Senator Vermont, who had captured the same kind of cold that made Barack Obama in 2008. Some Clinton aides felt that she had been playing it too safe . Now behind two digits, the stage seemed to delegate a long and protracted struggle.

Although New Hampshire seemed a lost cause, she punched hard in the debate Thursday night, you pass them as nobles proposals Sanders fantasy that could never be achieved.

Sows efforts Sanders cast him as a creature of Wall Street: "It is time to end the very clever and you smear campaign have done," she said. At the same time, he continued to stumble across answers about the $ 675,000 she was paid for three speeches by Goldman Sachs, which only seemed to reinforce the most powerful line of attack against her Sanders was the last insider.

"You had to pay $ 675,000," Anderson Cooper of CNN asked Clinton for democratic city hall CNN in New Hampshire one day before Wednesday.

"Well, I do not know. Umm, that's what it offers," he said, apparently surprised by the question. The moment you accept the payment, Cooper said, she was not sure she would run again for the White House.

"I did not know to be honest, I did not - I was not committed to running," he said.

Prepare for defeat, Clinton and his aides spent the week trying to lower expectations, with the candidate herself wondering aloud if she jumped Granite State primary altogether and moved to a firmer footing in Nevada and Carolina southern, states with populations more diverse than Sanders should not run as strong.

Sanders has a house edge-cutting in New Hampshire, she and her surrogates insisted again and again, and there was much I could do about it.
"Their argument is - and has some strength to it, look, you're behind here, you're in the backyard of his opponent," Clinton told supporters at a rally in Derry week. But never combat, she vowed to press on: "I know I have a lot that I'm ready to recover I will fight until the last vote is cast..."
Behind the scenes, Clinton aides were already looking on the map: broadcasting ads in South Carolina and Nevada to lock in minority voters who will be crucial to their accounts and delegate marshaling their teams next conclave States as Maine and Minnesota where you think Sanders can do well.

In a sign of resignation about the likely outcome of Tuesday, they even sent Clinton out of state on Sunday at Flint, Michigan, to discuss the water crisis, an issue of great importance to many minority voters who have seen the scandal They unfold in horror.

The most ominous development for Clinton: the deep rift between her and Sanders among young voters, who broke heavily in favor of Sanders, according to exit polls Tuesday night.
More surprisingly, women younger than 30 years left 79% to 20% sanders for Clinton.
While many Clinton allies are deeply puzzled by gap, Clinton has tried to strike a positive note, saying in his campaign events, including Tuesday night, although young women were not with her, she still fight for them.

Press his case also it highlights that the struggle for women's equality is far from over. But they have been affected in recent days when others took that message too far. Madeleine Albright, the first woman Secretary of State, triggered a storm as she scoffed Sanders Saturday called for a "revolution" in the Clinton rally in Concord.

Clinton at the event, something disturbing was full of supporters outside the state and some politicians tourists - Albright said the revolution in 2016 the race elect the first woman president.
"We know our story of how we climbed the stairs and many of you younger women think it has," Albright said, before pivoting to a searing rebuke of young women Sanders. "There is not made a special place in hell for women who do not help each other. "

The crowd cheered and laughed Clinton, but comments risked further alienate young supporters Sanders.

The controversy over Albright's comment was amplified by the discussion of observation Gloria Steinem earlier this week in an interview with "Real Time" host Bill Maher that Sanders supported young women to attend "children."

"They'll get more activists as they age," Steinem said Maher. "When you're young, you're thinking, 'Where are the boys?' The boys are with Bernie. "

Steinem tried to soften his comments on Sunday were still post to Facebook, but the sting of his words and Albright. Some young women voters in New Hampshire, said they were shocked by what they consider to embarrass the Clinton campaign and its allies.
Gabrielle Greaves, a student at the University of New Hampshire, who had attended the Town Hall with Sanders and Clinton CNN earlier this week, told Albright and Steinem flap only reinforced the "disconnect between the generations."

"Older women not understand why not vote for Hillary Clinton, and not really think they are trying to understand," Greaves a Brooklyn 19-year-old said in an interview here in Manchester.
"I think many older women think we do not understand how Hillary Clinton has offered, and much has been through what is done for women. I do not think she should be president does not mean I'm not grateful for the things he has done . "

Greaves added that "there is something that does not rely on Hillary Clinton." Bernie Sanders said, "it is a genuine soul."

"I just want the old confidence in us that we can make decisions generation," he said. "Just because we have opposing views, does not mean that we are not smart enough to think about these things and consider all options."

The issue of trust continues dog to Clinton during their events throughout the week in New Hampshire. Interviews with voters after its manifestations suggested he was having trouble closing the sale as some Democrats worried about their responsibility ahead.

Jane Fargo came to Concord Clinton rally during the weekend with a sign that says "Convince Me" in red letters. He was persuaded by former Secretary of State.

"I'm really torn What is going to be best for my interests My investments are falling;.?. I'm looking to retire in 12 years and it's really frightening, Fargo, a high school teacher of 52-year-old forward said" I He loves the fiery spirit of Bernie. Someone has managed to shake something and sells it to me Bernie. "

Standing next to the bleachers in the gym where Clinton had spoken just, Fargo said he liked his ideas but worried about "how it is rooted."

¿ "She just in government forever, so it's her and sold? Or she will actually go and shake it like Bernie is promising to do?

"I'm looking for change." I want change, Fargo said. At the same time, "when they say that Clinton will be ready the first day, I have a feeling it will be ready on day one," he said. What about Sanders? "It's my qualms there, he hits the spot.

Sanders closes the deal

In recent days, Sanders marches crackle with the kind of power that accompanies a candidate on the rise.

The stage at Portsmouth on Sunday afternoon, he stripped his jacket and threw School children dressed in beanie on stage behind him, who cheered as if they were in the presence of a rock star.

The cheers built to a crescendo as marked by the elements in his stump speech, railing against the "rigged economy," promising universal health coverage, promising the big banks and broken criminal justice system. He engaged in exchange of call with people as he encouraged them to scream how much student debt bearing as he talked about his plans for free college.

¿ "$ 100,000? ... Win," he said, pointing to a woman in the crowd.

A laughing, mocked the refrain he has heard from Clinton allies ". Your ideas are as ambitious'

Sanders paused for a beat. "We will get because people will demand that makes them get," he thundered.

Clinton last days of his New Hampshire campaign carried disturbing echoes of his 2008 campaign.

Bill Clinton, who was a moderate and measured his wife Iowa primaries lawyer, attacked the followers of Sanders in the last weekend - condemning sexist attacks and calling the media for being too soft Sanders coverage.

"When you are making a revolution that can not be too careful about the facts," said the former president. You're just for me or against me. "

His criticism of the program as unreachable Sanders recalled 2008, when the campaign Barack Obama called a "fairy tale". Once again, former President warned, democratic voters were rolling the dice.

On Monday, the die seemed cast. The conversation around the democratic campaign focused not on a return, but a reorganization campaign.

Seeking to change the story line, Hillary Clinton was cautious, saying in an interview on MSNBC that the campaign was "balance."

Along the way, she struck a poignant tone in the last hours: "For me, this is a labor of love," she said in one of his last event in a restaurant on the west side of Manchester.

She conceded defeat in a statement shortly after 20:00 polls closed in New Hampshire on Tuesday night.

"I still love New Hampshire, and I always will," he said, taking the stage with her husband and daughter at the University of Southern New Hampshire.

But she was looking ahead to South Carolina and the United further, saying its donors in an email to not be discouraged by the results.

"I hope tonight had been different," she wrote in an e-mail fundraising. "But I know what is down, and long experience have learned that it's not whether you get knocked down that matter. It's whether you get up again."

Kamikaze in the lane of the establishment

A policy precipitation changes the trajectory of the campaign of the Republican Party in New Hampshire: takedown mercilessly Christie Rubio, which had seemed on the cusp of the musculature of the other candidates for the establishment of the race for three-way contest Trump and the Cross.
Results view Tuesday night with strong second place finish Kasich, Christie maneuver to damage Rubio ultimately looked like a kamikaze mission for the governor, who staked his entire campaign in New Hampshire but finished sixth.

A week before after surprisingly strong third place in Iowa Rubio, had looked as if the establishment had finally found his running around.

But with the skill of a street fighter New Jersey, Christie managed to stop alone Rubio aides had nicknamed "Marco-mentum" Saturday evening with great strengths of his rival, his youth, his charisma, uplifting message and turning them into weaknesses.

Rubio confuse with firm eye contact, Christie had walked Senator Florida into a trap: one that shows him inexperienced, yet for the role of commander in chief, a robotic candidate scheduled scripted lines, which seemed wilt under pressure as beads of sweat on his forehead.

"I like Marco Rubio and he is an intelligent person and nice guy, but he just does not have the experience to be President of the United States," Christie said during this time of debate. "We've seen it happen, worldwide, over the past seven years. The people of New Hampshire's smart. Do not make that mistake again."

Over the past month, the Christie-Rubio rivalry turned intensely personal.
Allies blond put his mark on Christie in early January as appears to be increasing in surveys about the strength of its many town halls. Earlier that month, super PAC supporting Rubio, conservative PAC solutions, multi-million dollar ad buy unleashed.

He took a pair of scorching ads faults the governor of New Jersey for his senior position in common base for expansion of Medicaid under Obamacare and economic woes in New Jersey. An announcement was essentially a photo montage of Christie and Obama after superstorm Sandy, a wound with conservative voters.

The other raised the specter of scandal George Washington Bridge, the plan to close roads and create traffic tie-ups that administration officials involved. "Chris Christie. High taxes. Weak economy. Scandals," tag line of the ad said. "We do not need in the White House."

Christie and his allies were furious. In private conversations, Christie told attendees who could not believe the response that Rubio was voters and donors given their thin resume in the Senate and what he considered a mediocre record of achievement, according to a person familiar with the talks .
After Iowa, with numbers still under survey, Christie grabbed his moment to strike.

Some team members Christie became even more annoying up for calls received after Iowa, suggesting that Christie should drop out so the party could coalesce around Rubio.
As candidates began their campaigns toward changing the status of granite February 2, Christie telegraphed its strategy reporters, noting that one week would be "interesting" to Rubio.

He proved his lines about the dangers posed by senators in the foreground on the stump. And then the real attack began when he unleashed his new line of attack for Rubio, calling it the "boy in the bubble" that relied on consultants to canning lines.

Savoring his performance after the debate, Christie cited "the great political philosopher Mike Tyson," the champion of heavyweight boxing.

"Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face," he told reporters.

The timing of the debate was played over and over again, even Tuesday morning as voters went to the polls.

People close to Rubio acknowledged that his performance in the debate clearly had an impact on the polls. But the headlines about how he had strangled Rubio were even more devastating.

On Tuesday night, he took full responsibility, "our disappointment tonight is not in you," he told the crowd at his victory party. "It's on me. I did not do well on Saturday, and will never happen again.

Bush allies and Kasich were practically giddy, largely because the debate had reset the race for donors who had been leaning toward Rubio.

Again, these whimsical donors were again on the bench - frozen at least for a while. And it was clear that the struggle for the establishment lane could go on for weeks.

In interviews during his final campaign with famous makers of New Hampshire, many voters who had been in love with Rubio admitted the debate they had given them twice. Echoed Christie suggestion that Rubio might end up getting destroyed by Hillary Clinton in a general election.

Some were puzzled by the fact that Rubio had repeated the same line four times in the debate and then repeated almost word line in one of his final events. What once it seemed like admirable discipline message polished candidate had become a viral meme. In recent days, Rubio was shaded statewide by robots Rubio (paid, of course, for the right to rise "super PAC" supporting Bush).

Doubts introduced late in the game mattered on election day.

Stephanie Tsepas, who ran in Rubio in his polling place in Derry on Tuesday, had gone to one of their municipalities on Friday and left with a headache, he said, because he seemed so robotic and rehearsed.

"I felt I was living in one of your ads," Tsepas said. She had the opportunity to participate on a more personal level with Florida Sen. your polling place, ask him about his plan to fund cures for cancer, a disease with her husband.

Ultimately he had chosen his vote for someone else, but she would not say who.

"He might be a great candidate for the presidency," Rubio said Tsepas. "I just do not think now is the time."

But the results, the Christie-Rubio matchup that dominated the last days of the first in the nation primary cutting both ways. After a disappointing end, Christie led Home to review your options.

There may be a step too far in its attempt to stop the momentum of Rubio. Roger Fletcher, who had been considering the governor of New Jersey, decided it would be on the side of the "victim, not the bully".

"Thanks to Chris Christie attacks, I went with Marco Rubio," wrote Bash after casting his vote on Tuesday.

The struggle to end package

Confronting Christie-Rubio was a moment that had been in the making in the crowded lane facility here in New Hampshire. Four candidates, Rubio, Christie, Kasich and Bush, had worked in the shadow of victory, and ultimately Kasich benefited from that mess in the package.

From the beginning, the four candidates knew there would be another ticket, or maybe two, more than Ted Cruz and win New Hampshire. While Cruz was not a natural fit for the voters of New Hampshire, his ground game has demonstrated exceptional so far and was able to ride his victory in Iowa in more comfortable territory in South Carolina without facing high expectations here.

Rack to more moderate voters in New Hampshire, Bush, Kasich and Christie all principles committed to the model of John McCain, conducting a corner of the state to another, holding dozens of municipalities and persistent until the last voters had the opportunity to shake hands and ask questions.

Behind the scenes was a bloodbath of negative ads and on behind the scenes. In January, the candidates and their allies had spent at least $ 30 million in negative ads, according to Kantar Media / Commonwealth.

Much of that spending was super PAC Pro-Bush, right to rise, which sought Rubio as a political novice vote Salta and Kasich as a budget buster that agreed to expand the Medicaid as part of Obamacare. Right-mail showed photos of Kasich and Rubio a pair of red dice up: "no roll the dice America needs a leader who can be trusted.".

Despite everything I spend, Bush repeatedly shelled and tried to take the victory without success. But it became a best defender during his time in New Hampshire. He kept his loose municipalities and focusing on politics, insisting even in his final campaign stop there was still "a happy warrior."

Voters often walk their municipalities amazed that the activist had only seen on stage was a different person they had seen in the debates. It became accustomed to the rope line to be advised by the voters, who tried to buck him up to offer unsolicited advice on how to improve their performances debate.

In the last weekend its campaign stepped up their game from the earth, which had focused largely on the south side of New Hampshire populated, providing dozens of aides to President George W. Bush and President George H.W. Bush and Florida friends to knock on doors and make phone calls. He drew one of his largest crowds with a special presentation for 90 years Barbara Bush, who called her son "the most beautiful man in the world" during an appearance on Thursday night in Derry.

"It's not a bragger, we do not allow" Barbara Bush said that night. "But it's decent and honest. He is everything we need in a president."

Barbara Bush: I'm sick of Donald Trump 01:08

Increasingly emboldened time, Bush tried to throw his attempted takedowns of Trump as an act of courage, reaching called Trump "whiner" and "liar" in one of his final tweets the day before the primary.

"I am defending the honor of the people who really respect," Bush said Dana Bash of CNN in an interview Monday. I am a happy warrior. There is a difference between sitting and watching someone try to hijack a game that I think will allow people to get up again. "

Like Christie, Bush also became increasingly willing to go after Rubio in recent weeks. He offered his criticism sharper Florida Senator MSNBC in an interview Friday shrugged when asked what Rubio had succeeded in the Senate, "Nothing," he said. "He's a great guy. But it is not a leader. And he refused to apologize for attack ads on the right rises." Politics is not bean bag, "he told reporters.

In his final rally in Portsmouth on Monday night, Bush reminded the audience that he had gone to almost every corner of New Hampshire, including some 15,000 different Dunkin 'Donuts. His ground game was sophisticated and well funded, especially after he had shifted resources and personnel to its headquarters in Miami in the Granite State.

"You're in New Hampshire, can change the course of anything," Bush told voters in Portsmouth on Monday night. "If you do not think the experts are right, the obituaries written about all candidates, including me ... If you disagree with this race will be restored tomorrow. You have that power. No one else does. It is an extraordinary responsibility ".

Surprise New Hampshire Kasich

In one of the ironies of the race Tuesday night, it was sunny Kasich campaign that will ultimately slotted one second place finish behind Trump.

Kasich advisers had always believed that he had a strong chance here because of his moderate record and attractive potential voters in New Hampshire. And those final independents decide invested in data destination in the last hours.

Throughout the process, Kasich had also touched on what he considered unfair attacks on his record. After an event earlier this week, he complained to reporters that his campaign had millions of dollars spent on them.

"They can even build boxes big enough to put all the negative publicity of these campaigns," he said. But he believed his country would play "isolate us from all these attacks."

Rubio stumbled Kasich strategists saw an opening in about 500 volunteers help the state scrutiny and make phone calls in recent days.

He was one of the few candidates that looked like they were having fun in the field - taking a break from the City Council 99 and 100 in Hollis, New Hampshire, on Friday to participate in a snowball fight with reporters and assistants.

"If we win, I think it will send a powerful message," Kasich said a day earlier, "because I believe that now is the good time."

I have touched these topics in his victory speech after coming in second to Donald Trump, claiming that there was "magic in the air" and described his campaign as an effort to "restore the spirit of America," while "leave no one behind" .

"Maybe we are placing a page in a dark part of American policy," he said, "because tonight the light overcame the darkness."

But the road ahead remains cloudy for the establishment: a mixed mess candidates still vying for third Tuesday night, the brutal Battle of New Hampshire which was to clarify the race finally may have simply been deadlocked.

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